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Is this statistically even possible?
Tiger Boards - The Amphitheatre
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Is this statistically even possible?

6

Oct 28, 2024, 9:25 AM
Reply
IMG_8757.jpeg(204.5 K)

Is the fix already in?

2024 purple level member flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


Re: Is this statistically even possible?


Oct 28, 2024, 9:42 AM
Reply

The first chart invalidates the second chart

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Re: Is this statistically even possible?


Oct 28, 2024, 9:45 AM
Reply

Do you have to register as one party or another to request a mail in ballot?

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Re: Is this statistically even possible?


Oct 28, 2024, 10:05 AM
Reply

Not in SC

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Re: Is this statistically even possible?

1

Oct 28, 2024, 10:16 AM
Reply

You don't have to designate party to get a ballot in any state. The only time you have to declare a party is for primaries because you can only vote in one primary.

military_donation.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Re: Is this statistically even possible?


Oct 29, 2024, 10:33 AM
Reply

I have to declare in NC. I declare as Independent so I can vote in all primaries. States vary greatly.


Message was edited by: OneJedi® thanks to fat fingers and ducking autocorrect


2024 orange level member flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


Re: Is this statistically even possible?


Nov 9, 2024, 4:53 PM
Reply

Yes like I said. Federal Law prohibits restrictions in general elections ONLY primaries.

military_donation.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Re: Is this statistically even possible?

1

Nov 9, 2024, 4:56 PM [ in reply to Re: Is this statistically even possible? ]
Reply

Per NC Law= In a General Election, voters may vote for the candidates of their choice, regardless of the candidate's party affiliation.

military_donation.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Re: Is this statistically even possible?

1

Oct 29, 2024, 10:43 AM [ in reply to Re: Is this statistically even possible? ]
Reply

There is no registration by party in SC for primaries so this form can't be correct. Republicans have long fought for registration by party in this state but have not been successful. Anyone can vote in either party primary but not both. I agree with the idea because there is so much trouble with one party interfering with the other. An example: Democrats who have a no opposition candidate or a strong candidate that they no will win often cross over and vote for the weakest candidate on the republican ballot to increase the chances of a democratic win in the general election. I believe every party should have a right to choose their candidate without interference from the other party.

2024 purple level member flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Re: Is this statistically even possible?

2

Oct 28, 2024, 9:47 AM [ in reply to Re: Is this statistically even possible? ]
Reply

The second chart is mail in only and the first chart also includes early in person voting or did I misread that ?

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Nope ... you didn't.


Oct 28, 2024, 4:13 PM
Reply

The first chart is for early voting and, I am assuming, for ballots that have already been mailed-in and received. I have no clue how they know the party affiliation. When I voted early, there was no question about what party I voted for nor was I asked.

The only way I figure is that they are tying the primary voter to the early/mail-in voter, which validates my suspicions.

2024 white level memberbadge-donor-15yr.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

"When I was young, I was sure of many things; now there are only two things of which I am sure: one is, that I am a miserable sinner; and the other, that Christ is an all-sufficient Saviour. He is well-taught who learns these two lessons." -John Newton


Re: Nope ... you didn't.


Oct 29, 2024, 10:34 AM
Reply

They look at how you vote. It’s public record.

2024 orange level member flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


Re: Nope ... you didn't.


Oct 29, 2024, 10:38 AM
Reply

How you vote is most definitely not public record. You can look up someone's registration status, whether they voted, and if they're a registered member of a political party, but you can't see who they voted for.

badge-donor-05yr.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


Re: Nope ... you didn't.


Oct 29, 2024, 11:15 AM
Reply

You don't think they know your history of which primary you voted? 👌

2024 white level member flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Re: Nope ... you didn't.


Oct 29, 2024, 11:24 AM
Reply

Yes, but who you voted for isn't public record. Some people vote in the Republican primary and then vote for a Democrat in the general election, and vice versa.

badge-donor-05yr.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


Lutz. If Harris wins SC, I'll agree it was fixed.

1

Oct 28, 2024, 9:55 AM
Reply

That ain't gonna happen though some voter fraud is committed by both sides I'd guess.

2024 orange level memberbadge-donor-15yr.jpgringofhonor-jospehg.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


SC doesn't have you register by party

5

Oct 28, 2024, 9:58 AM
Reply

so I'm thinking the whole thing is BS

2024 orange level memberbadge-donor-15yr.jpgringofhonor-cu85tiger.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

“Anti-intellectualism has been a constant thread winding its way through our political and cultural life, nurtured by the false notion that democracy means that my ignorance is just as good as your knowledge.” Isaac Asimov
Panta Rhei Heraclitus


Re: Is this statistically even possible?

4

Oct 28, 2024, 10:04 AM
Reply

The second chart is broken. If you choose any of the radio buttons the results is always 100% of one of the options. Party registration is 100% Democrat, Age is 100% 65+, and Gender is 100% Female.

Chart is broken.

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The first problem is trusting anything from nbc

2

Oct 28, 2024, 10:20 AM
Reply

.

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Re: The first problem is trusting anything from nbc

4

Oct 28, 2024, 10:23 AM
Reply

This is NBC so you will not hear anything positive about the Republicans. Just like ABC and CBS. All are straight liberal networks and push the democratic agenda very hard.

badge-donor-05yr.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


or MSNBC or CNN or ABC or CBS.***

4

Oct 28, 2024, 10:29 AM [ in reply to The first problem is trusting anything from nbc ]
Reply

null




2024 orange level memberbadge-donor-20yr.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Sometimes good things fall apart so better things can fall together.


Or fox or literally any of them because they all

3

Oct 28, 2024, 10:54 AM
Reply

make their money by slanting everything to their target audience rather than attempting any kind of balance.

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

While I don't disagree...

1
1

Oct 28, 2024, 11:20 AM
Reply

at least Fox isn't guilty of propagating false narratives (e.g., Billary's lies about Russian collusion) or flatly refusing to report news that paints their preferred candidate or candidates in a negative light (e.g., Hunter Biden's laptop scandal, The Big Guys obvious cognitive decline, and influence peddling).

2024 orange level memberbadge-donor-20yr.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Sometimes good things fall apart so better things can fall together.


LOL

1
6

Oct 28, 2024, 1:25 PM
Reply

comedic gold there...

Fox paid 787$M for supporting a false narrative

get a f'n clue.. take off the red/orange glasses

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LOL


Oct 28, 2024, 2:07 PM
Reply

sure

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What do you mean "sure"? That's a plain fact

1

Oct 28, 2024, 4:52 PM
Reply

And what's worse, it was a SETTLEMENT, meaning, Fox agreed to pay that to make the problem go away since they knew they had a lot more to lose if it progressed.

I swear, MAGA's default response to anything that challenges their preconceived beliefs is to claim it's fake.

It's like watching a little kid cover their eyes and assume that no one else can see them

2024 purple level member flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

What country are you from that puts the $ after the amount?***


Oct 28, 2024, 4:33 PM [ in reply to LOL ]
Reply



2024 white level memberbadge-donor-15yr.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

"When I was young, I was sure of many things; now there are only two things of which I am sure: one is, that I am a miserable sinner; and the other, that Christ is an all-sufficient Saviour. He is well-taught who learns these two lessons." -John Newton


Sick burn, dude. You really showed 'em.***

1

Oct 28, 2024, 4:53 PM
Reply



2024 purple level member flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Nice insult, dud! You really showed me.***

1

Oct 29, 2024, 10:26 AM
Reply



2024 white level memberbadge-donor-15yr.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

"When I was young, I was sure of many things; now there are only two things of which I am sure: one is, that I am a miserable sinner; and the other, that Christ is an all-sufficient Saviour. He is well-taught who learns these two lessons." -John Newton


Re: Is this statistically even possible?


Oct 28, 2024, 10:59 AM [ in reply to Re: Is this statistically even possible? ]
Reply

If you will read the small print, the second chart is MODELED by a company call Targetsmart (I think). So it is an estimate, not a count.

The top chart is ALL early voting, while the bottom chart is all mail in ballots requested, so there is no conflict between the two.

Finally, it seems to be some malfunction in the second chart function as suggested above.

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Technically both are wrong. They are importing data


Oct 28, 2024, 2:23 PM
Reply

into a system that is not built for SC data since you don’t do party registering in SC. They didn’t account for the states that don’t have party registration when they built the reporting tool. For SC - it should only show total registered voter, # voted early and # mail in requested/ received. There should be no red/blue republican/democrat radio buttons, filtering or displaying of the data. IMO SC does it right by that approach. Furthermore, I wish they would remove straight party voting ability from the top of all ballots.

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Re: Technically both are wrong. They are importing data


Oct 28, 2024, 4:03 PM
Reply

c90

I agree about straight party voting.

The Dem / Rep delineation is based on MODELING by Targetsmart from multiple commercial sources.

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Take screenshots with a grain of slaw

2

Oct 28, 2024, 10:29 AM
Reply

often the work of a troll in Idaho or Moscow

2024 white level memberbadge-donor-10yr.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


Re: Is this statistically even possible?


Oct 28, 2024, 10:29 AM
Reply

You can’t control it anyways

2024 student level member flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

I hate to break the news to you but Harris will win after two weeks

4

Oct 28, 2024, 10:33 AM
Reply

of counting ballots. Democrats will stuff the ballot boxes in PA, MI, OHIO, NC, GA, New Mexico and maybe VA to ensure those states go to the democrats. The only way Trump wins is if it is a landslide on election night. Once they start counting mail in ballots its all over. Welcome to the new world order....

badge-donor-05yr.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

News from USuC...
"Richardson was the 20th Gamecock arrested since Spurrier was hired in Nov. 2004"

Fluxus®
"As I watched the game yesterday I couldn't help but feel crushed. We beat Furman by 4 TDs, but to me it looked like we got whipped."

"George Bush, we are reliably informed by the media, has the IQ of a moron, though how he matriculated from Yale and Harvard or flew an F-106 will remain an unexplained mystery. Doubtless his father bribed the airplane to fly itself."


Re: I hate to break the news to you but Harris will win after two weeks

3

Oct 28, 2024, 11:05 AM
Reply

Tigerfann,

Have you ever worked in a vote counting center ? There are experienced representatives of both parties present and plenty of scrutiny from each.

In precincts (of which there are many) which count the mail in ballots last, there will be a decided shift in vote totals towards the Democrats, because Democratic voters use mail in ballots far more than Republican voters do.

Please don't use this well-understood shift as some bullyshitt through which to invalidate the election.

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Yes I have

3

Oct 28, 2024, 11:37 AM
Reply

I have also done political polling. Democrats in these critical areas simply registered and harvested enough "votes" from individuals who would not have voted through mail in ballots.

https://time.com/5936036/secret-2020-election-campaign/

voter turnout
https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2023/07/12/voter-turnout-2018-2022/

About two-thirds (66%) of the voting-eligible population turned out for the 2020 presidential election – the highest rate for any national election since 1900. The 2018 election (49% turnout) had the highest rate for a midterm since 1914. Even the 2022 election’s turnout, with a slightly lower rate of 46%, exceeded that of all midterm elections since 1970.

Once you remove your head from your rect*m and look at the numbers it is very clear how the 2020 election was won by Biden

badge-donor-05yr.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

News from USuC...
"Richardson was the 20th Gamecock arrested since Spurrier was hired in Nov. 2004"

Fluxus®
"As I watched the game yesterday I couldn't help but feel crushed. We beat Furman by 4 TDs, but to me it looked like we got whipped."

"George Bush, we are reliably informed by the media, has the IQ of a moron, though how he matriculated from Yale and Harvard or flew an F-106 will remain an unexplained mystery. Doubtless his father bribed the airplane to fly itself."


Re: Yes I have

1

Oct 28, 2024, 12:23 PM
Reply

Tigerfann,

I have read both articles through and I see no reference to "stuffing" ballot boxes - or any other method of illegally obtaining votes.

Joe Biden won the 2020 election by getting reluctant voters to vote - and Trump's erratic four years in office helped them to do that.

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

I'll write slower this time

2

Oct 28, 2024, 1:26 PM
Reply

https://www.electproject.org/2020g

Arizona 68.6%, Wisonsin 75.3%, Georgia 68.2%, Michigan 73.5%, Pennsylvania 70.1% all swing states and all had VEP turnout rates statistically significantly higher compared to US average.

https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/results/president

Take these states away from Biden and the electoral ballots flip to 303 Trump to 235 Biden. All the democrats did was mail out voter registration to everyone in those states using COVID as the cover, harvest them, ensure they all voted for Biden and dump them in collection boxes.

https://www.heritage.org/voterfraud

Its a numbers game. Pick the states that are controled by democrats, harvest votes, win elections. I know I just wasted my time providing you with evidence. Don't worry you can still believe Trump was a russian spy and Epstein wasn't murdered....

badge-donor-05yr.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

News from USuC...
"Richardson was the 20th Gamecock arrested since Spurrier was hired in Nov. 2004"

Fluxus®
"As I watched the game yesterday I couldn't help but feel crushed. We beat Furman by 4 TDs, but to me it looked like we got whipped."

"George Bush, we are reliably informed by the media, has the IQ of a moron, though how he matriculated from Yale and Harvard or flew an F-106 will remain an unexplained mystery. Doubtless his father bribed the airplane to fly itself."


I wish I had a crayon with which to help you here

2

Oct 28, 2024, 4:27 PM
Reply

My friend, you are providing some dots, but the connections between them are weak or non-existent.

First dot: wouldn't it make sense for swing state voters to be motivated to turn out in greater than average numbers since their votes were actually going to count in the election - ie have a dramatic impact on the results.

Second dot: yes, swing states decided the election. That is why they are called swing states. If they had voted another way, Trump might have been re-elected. But they didn't and he wasn't.

Third dot: Your article points out that out of 158 million votes cast, 1500 were fraudulent. You can check my maths, but that comes out to .0001. Hardly enough to change election results - or be ranting about.

Beyond that, can you explain how the Democrats "harvest them, ensure they all voted for Biden and dump them in collection boxes." Oh, and some evidence too please.

On top of that, the swing states that you have listed above were not controlled by Democrats.

This is what happens when you reach a conclusion and then do research to try to support it rather than the other way around. I don't imagine I have changed your mind, but perhaps you can see that your so called evidence is significantly lacking.

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Re: I wish I had a crayon with which to help you here


Oct 29, 2024, 6:41 AM
Reply

Ballots for Democrat voters are harvested by going door to door in high density population centers, ie urban large apartment complexes and "assist" ordering mail in ballots, then going back and "assist" the completion of the ballots and ensuring the delivery or mailing of the ballots. Republican voters are typically suburban or rural and it takes a lot more effort to ensure that their votes get cast. The cheating is the amount and type of "assistance." This elections can be "legally" stolen. This used to happen at the polls with poll workers or observers allowed in the booth to provide assistance which went beyond what was allowed, such as asking, "Don't you want to vote for LBJ or Bill Clinton? This is how you do it." (or actually voting for the person they were assisting.)

2024 white level member flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Re: I wish I had a crayon with which to help you here


Oct 29, 2024, 10:31 AM
Reply

So they assist people in casting their vote for President - and that is election stealing ???

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

no party registration in SC, so invalid data no matter how you look at #2

3
2

Oct 28, 2024, 10:39 AM
Reply

why would you even think that was anything other than an error?

amazing how much trumplethinskin and the maga cult have f'd things up

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

LOL you support kamala


Oct 28, 2024, 2:08 PM
Reply

walz too LOL

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

only alternative

2
2

Oct 28, 2024, 4:21 PM
Reply

i don't support:

the felon
the con man
the grifter
the adjudicated (multiple) fraud
the adjudicated sex offender
the adjudicated defamer
the tax cheat
the guy who is too f'n old and too f'n nuts to old any public office


can you imagine how the right wing nutcases would react if another candidate showed up with a face full of orange make-up?

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

The best president of your lifetime. Get out of the bubble of legacy media***

1

Oct 28, 2024, 4:25 PM
Reply



flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

would love to vote for a principled conservative

1

Oct 29, 2024, 5:23 AM
Reply

but there is no place for one in the maga-verse


so, how is life in the cult?

are you a sucker or a liar? to support todays GOP, you gotta be one or the other

do you believe the lie or just go along with/ignore it?

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Have you ever heard of psychological projection?

1

Oct 29, 2024, 9:56 AM
Reply

Look it up. I suspect you are suffering from it.

You are being played by the democrats.

2024 white level memberbadge-donor-15yr.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

"When I was young, I was sure of many things; now there are only two things of which I am sure: one is, that I am a miserable sinner; and the other, that Christ is an all-sufficient Saviour. He is well-taught who learns these two lessons." -John Newton


Re: only alternative

1

Oct 28, 2024, 4:46 PM [ in reply to only alternative ]
Reply

🤔

So, you are voting morals? That is funny!

There is a reason they call her Horizontal Harris. Furthermore, she put people in prison for the very things she was doing.

Her policies are clearly socialist in nature. She is merely a puppet and has had one of the lowest approval ratings for a VP in history because she was utterly useless. She is nothing more than a figurehead with no experience and is part of an economy that is tanking most everyone in middle class.

Furthermore, let's let in every terrorist and felon possible is the Border Czar mantra. And, while we are at it, let's pay for sex re-assignment for prisoners.

Don't throw morality at me, you pompous Pharisee! Sin is sin no matter how you brand it. We aren't electing a savior; we are electing the person that is going to lead this country and do what is best for the MAJORITY. One has proven experience for a great economy, keeping Russia and China under control, a border under control. The other is cackling jackal with bubbles popping in her head.

2024 white level memberbadge-donor-15yr.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

"When I was young, I was sure of many things; now there are only two things of which I am sure: one is, that I am a miserable sinner; and the other, that Christ is an all-sufficient Saviour. He is well-taught who learns these two lessons." -John Newton


another sucker for the big lie

1

Oct 29, 2024, 5:26 AM
Reply

and another person who doesn't know what socialism is


you fear some imasginary socialism when a real fascism is being shown to you every time trumplethinskin speaks

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Please provide PROOF that Trump is promoting fascism.

1

Oct 29, 2024, 9:54 AM
Reply

He has a track record as president. And, I can guarantee you, your life was better under him as president EXCEPT for your utter hatred and contempt for him.

2024 white level memberbadge-donor-15yr.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

"When I was young, I was sure of many things; now there are only two things of which I am sure: one is, that I am a miserable sinner; and the other, that Christ is an all-sufficient Saviour. He is well-taught who learns these two lessons." -John Newton


Wrong Board.***

1

Oct 28, 2024, 11:00 AM
Reply



2024 white level memberbadge-donor-15yr.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

https://as1.ftcdn.net/v2/jpg/00/81/16/28/1000_F_81162810_8TlZDomtVuVGlyqWL2I4HA7Wlqw7cr5a.jpg


Re: Is this statistically even possible?


Oct 28, 2024, 2:18 PM
Reply

It’s well known that the overwhelming majority of mail in voters are democrats. Republicans usually choose to vote in person. Nothing to worry about here

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

It is at NBC***


Oct 28, 2024, 4:30 PM
Reply



2024 orange level member flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

"We aren't always going to win national championships." - tdqtiger


Re: Is this statistically even possible?


Oct 29, 2024, 6:36 AM
Reply

No that’s not possible, because my 95 year old parents had mail in ballots and are republicans.

2024 white level member flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

"If a pig had a better personality, he would cease to be a filthy animal."


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