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YOUR BALANCE
ESPN FPI Says We Win vs ND 71%
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ESPN FPI Says We Win vs ND 71%


Dec 8, 2020, 11:19 AM

https://www.espn.com/college-football/fpi/_/group/1


Hope they're right.

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And a 49.5% chance to make the playoffs


Dec 8, 2020, 11:25 AM

ESPN is not know for their math.

https://www.espn.com/college-football/fpi/_/sort/fpi.probmakeplayoffs/dir/desc


FPI is their clickbait and hot take machine. And it's more wrong than right. I could literally make better predictions by flipping a coin.

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ATS or straight up?


Dec 8, 2020, 1:32 PM

You're probably wrong either way, but very, very wrong if you are talking straight up.

EDIT: I agree that ESPN's playoff predictor is garbage though. I'm not sure what the inputs are, but they clearly don't value the same criteria as the CFP committee.

The FPI is actually not bad as long as you take it for what it is - a predictive model - rather than a resume ranking. FPI and SP+ are both predictive models which are just power rankings and primarily focused on who would beat who. They aren't really concerned with W-L records or head to head results which is what drives most fans (who generally don't understand them) batty.

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ESPN FPI


Dec 8, 2020, 11:26 AM



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Re: ESPN FPI Says We Win vs ND 71%- I so wish we had


Dec 8, 2020, 11:35 AM

beaten them in SB so this time we could eliminate them from the playoffs

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I normally don't like to agree with anything they say, but


Dec 8, 2020, 12:41 PM

I'll make an exception in this case. :)

2024 orange level memberbadge-donor-10yr.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


But what does Finebaum think?***


Dec 8, 2020, 12:50 PM



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