So I think we all anticipate that the money that athletes make thru the NIL process is mostly going to favor football and men's basketball and potentially women's basketball for certain programs. Does anyone think that there is any earning potential for baseball players? And to that end, do we think that the earning potential could exceed what these guys salaries would be in A and AA ball? I know that high draft picks get signing bonuses that will blow NIL out of the water, but once they get the bonus, they are still going to get the puny weekly checks of about $500 that only lasts the course of the season (and doesn't include spring training).
So the question on my mind is will more mid-level draft picks stay in or attend college to make a little more money on a weekly basis thru NIL. Their goal would be to develop further and hopefully start at a higher level of ball once drafted or spend less time in the minors.
...for baseball players. I can't imagine there are many if any college baseball players that could earn even weekend spending money from the NIL deal. This will, as you pointed out, affect mostly football and, to a lesser extent, men's basketball. Minor league pay is abysmal however. I was actually shocked at how pitiful when I looked it up. These are the weekly pay rates approved for the 2021 season by MLB.
Rookie and short-season: Up to $400 from $290 Single-A: Up to $500 from $290 Double-A: Up to $600 from $350 Triple-A: Up to $700 from $502
I would think most guys would certainly stay in college and try to make some NIL money instead of jumping to minor league ball unless they are top projected draft picks with huge signing bonuses. So I don't see NIL having any major impact on college baseball one way or the other. Now, that Transfer Portal thingy is a whole different conversation.