I don't think there is any doubt, North and South Carolina power suppliers, and
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Heisman Winner [80696]
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I don't think there is any doubt, North and South Carolina power suppliers, and
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Sep 30, 2024, 8:29 AM
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federal guv disaster relief agencies got caught with their pants down by the devastation caused in those areas by Hurricane Helene. I also was surprised that we lost power for 12 hours here in the middle of South Carolina in Orangeburg. Relatively benign wind speeds, and low rainfall in the area led me to believe we would skate by unscathed. And, we did, comparatively speaking. It will be YEARS, and in some cases NEVER, before the landscape in some of those places in western North and South Carolina ever looks about normal again.
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Heisman Winner [85443]
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Aged infrastructure is bad.
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Sep 30, 2024, 8:31 AM
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We're still in a supply chain shortage/leadtime for major electrical equipment. I'm sure flow0440® can speak better to that, but many of those damaged transformers will take 4 years to acquire new.
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Heisman Winner [80696]
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I find it sadly ironic that when initial relief efforts are talked about, the
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Sep 30, 2024, 8:35 AM
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first thing that is usually mentioned is CHARGING STATIONS FOR CELL PHONES. Really? How about food, clothes, and temporary shelter? It is amazing just how dependent on electronic devices our society has gotten.
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Ultimate Clemson Legend [103330]
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Well, my mother, her only way to communicate or get info was her phone.
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Sep 30, 2024, 8:50 AM
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Most of the wireless services survived relatively unscathed. Her landline phone and internet are still out. So her phone was the only way I could check on her, even though I drove around 2 blocked roads and 4 downed power lines to get to her on Friday.
So yeah , for most people with no land lines, or internet access, a phone is the best way to communicate. If mom didn't have a charged phone she couldn't get help if needed, or call in a power outage.
So phones have become essential, up there with shelter and food. Obviously your shelter comes first, and food/WATER is also second, but a cellphone would probably be a close third.
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TigerNet Immortal [177367]
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I am ordering a transiter radio
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Sep 30, 2024, 8:58 AM
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sitting in the car to find out info sucks.
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Ultimate Tiger [33730]
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Luckily, the distribution transformer market is a bit...
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Sep 30, 2024, 9:18 AM
[ in reply to Aged infrastructure is bad. ] |
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better now...at least for single-phase pole and pad-mount. That is mainly due to housing starts slowing and production capacity growing. 3-phase pads is another situation, but that not going to be the main issue here...at least not in the areas that aren't flooded.
The utilities keep pretty good storm supplies and there is a national utility network that will respond with storm supplies.
I'll have a better feel after we participate in a few group calls this afternoon, but I doubt transformer supply is going to be what's pacing the recovery here. My guess, at least from what I've seen, is getting trees off lines and out of roads for utility crews to start working.
And I'll add, I don't think aging infrastructure has much to do with this.
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Heisman Winner [85443]
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Man, I still have a 135 week lead time on a 2MVA 4160.
Sep 30, 2024, 3:40 PM
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For the western carolina I agree aging infrastructure definitely isn't the primary culprit of this.
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Orange Immortal [62024]
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yep, 18-24 month lead time on a xforner of any decent size
Sep 30, 2024, 3:57 PM
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this is gonna double it probably.
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Ultimate Tiger [33730]
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But you're talking about 3-phase larger C&I units here...
Oct 1, 2024, 8:33 AM
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not residential single-phase units
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Ultimate Tiger [33730]
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Heisman Winner [85443]
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Pad-mount
Oct 1, 2024, 1:06 PM
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That'd be the biggest pole mounted I've ever seen!
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Ultimate Tiger [33730]
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Yeah, I think 300kVA is about the largest standard pole-mount...
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Oct 1, 2024, 1:33 PM
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but some do make up to 2MVA...maybe larger...pole-mount. Ga Power was talking about possibly needing to feed the new plant we're building with larger pole-mount transformers until they can get the right size pad-mount transformer in. Of course, they would probably bank large single-phase units.
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Ultimate Clemson Legend [103330]
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Part of it, I've read, is the parts of SC that were hit hardest in the western
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Sep 30, 2024, 8:44 AM
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counties, and upstate, had never experienced hurricane winds like these, even during Hugo, the upstate was mostly spared. It's an area where you just don't get widespread high winds. As such, the trees, and forests are FULL of susceptible trees, whereas closer to the coast you have different trees, and over the years weaker trees are weeded out by the occasional hurricanes and tropical storms. Western SC had never seen winds this strong, over this large an area, in....well.....forever. So A LOT more trees came down that would not have fallen in the eastern part of the state, from the same winds. Different types of trees, and nothing to thin the weaker trees, basically led to unprecedented damage compared to hurricanes along the coast. The heavy rain that preceded the winds also weakened the soil and root systems adding to the damage.
Add to that basically a 2015 flooding situation unfolding in western NC, and you get an overall disaster that's probably worse than Hugo. Hugo kept moving fast, this came in fast, slowed down over NC, hit the mountains with tropical uplift and rains, and dumped rains never before seen in that area. Meanwhile, it flew through south GA and western SC at 30mph, a comparable speed to Hugo, which didn't allow weakening.
Add to that the power companies being caught flat-footed, and it's a mess.
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Heisman Winner [80696]
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If you know where to look, there is an area right outside Holly Hill, SC where
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Sep 30, 2024, 8:53 AM
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damage to pine forests that were snapped in half along side Highway 15 during Hurricane Hugo is STILL visible, 35 years on.
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Ultimate Tiger [33730]
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I certainly don't see it that way...
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Sep 30, 2024, 9:13 AM
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what could utilities have done differently?
I think most people don't have an appreciation for the complexity of the grid and the level of wide-spread damage.
If Duke gets the majority of the upstate restored by Friday, I would say that's pretty dang impressive based on what I've seen in Anderson.
Many of the same people that complain the loudest in the middle of an outage are the same people that complain the loudest when the utility wants to spend capital on storm hardening and reliability efforts.
I can speak to the Duke system very directly. Over the last few years Duke has installed a HUGE number of reclosers on their distribution lines. I know this project intimately. If you look at the picture of the recloser assembly at the 0:44 sec mark, it shows a recloser fitted with my company's voltage transformers.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tJmFzp-j9YQ
It was one of the largest projects we've participated in...we supplied approx. 20,000 voltage transformers for that project (3 per recloser) and we weren't the only supplier. Ride down any Duke distribution line and you'll seem them every so often. I can tell you, without the number of reclosers Duke put in over the last 3-4 years, many of the people with power now in the Upstate...wouldn't have it. Duke had to fight like crazy to get regulators to approve that and other similar projects in all of their operating regions. Citizen groups fought it everywhere. I would almost guarantee you that many of those same people both have benefited from it these last few days and are also complaining about Duke's preparedness.
And in terms of crew staging and availability, there's only so much that can be done in such a situation.
I just don't think the power companies "got caught with their pants down". Most people "in the know" are impressed by the collective response...at least on the power side.
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TigerNet Immortal [177367]
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Thanks for the input.
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Sep 30, 2024, 9:23 AM
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Really good info, sir!
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Ultimate Tiger [36077]
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TigerNet HOFer [127676]
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Still sux that im 3 miles by crow flies from Nuke Plt
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Sep 30, 2024, 9:34 AM
[ in reply to I certainly don't see it that way... ] |
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And i wont have power until Sat morning. If that!
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Ultimate Tiger [33730]
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Proximity to generation plant probably doesn't have much to do...
Sep 30, 2024, 9:47 AM
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with outage time.
Unless you want to tap into the 500kV transmission line?!?
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TigerNet Legend [146338]
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Sounds like something a power company shill would say.
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Sep 30, 2024, 9:42 AM
[ in reply to I certainly don't see it that way... ] |
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But seriously, why would citizen groups and others push back on reclosers and other disaster preparedness measures? Purely because of cost?
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Ultimate Tiger [36077]
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Ultimate Tiger [33730]
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Hall of Famer [8953]
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I am not an engineer but I see the problem. You installed a lot of
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Sep 30, 2024, 9:50 AM
[ in reply to I certainly don't see it that way... ] |
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reclosers when it sounds like we need some reopeners. SMH.
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Ultimate Tiger [33730]
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LOL...you might be right...
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Sep 30, 2024, 11:15 AM
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except..."closed" line means power flows..."open" line means no power flows.
So recloser is what you want
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Tiger Titan [50520]
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I read a blip from Duke Energy that across the state ther were over 1,400
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Sep 30, 2024, 9:26 AM
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power poles snapped or down. They went on to say it takes 3-4 hours per pole to install with a crew of 4.
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Orange Immortal [62024]
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ground too saturated to install a new pole in some places
Sep 30, 2024, 3:50 PM
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cant support the power lines in 6 feet of mud.
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Tiger Titan [50520]
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Sumthin, sumthin: too saturated to install a new pole.
Sep 30, 2024, 4:37 PM
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Nice
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Heisman Winner [80696]
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Ultimate Tiger [36445]
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No power here in greenville
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Sep 30, 2024, 9:32 AM
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But there were new power poles stacked on the ground everwhere around here before the storm. Someone knew what was coming. No doubt people are working their buts off. Now, if we can just see a little progress today and tomorrow to give us refugees sum hope...
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TigerNet HOFer [127676]
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I drove thru GVL yesterday, power in many places
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Sep 30, 2024, 9:39 AM
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You didnt bow down low enough.
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TigerNet Immortal [177367]
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Priorities
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Sep 30, 2024, 9:45 AM
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live near a hospital, then near retail stuff and you will get it quicker. Ours was back on 4 pm Saturday but we were already at the coast.
Spectrum still has not got internet working, so my next purchase is the T Mobile backup internet option that works over 5G. I think it is $20 a month for that.
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Orange Immortal [62024]
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