Some stats that make me feel better about NCST

Nov 1, 2017, 4:28 PM

I was perusing some stats and thought I'd post. Stats are through eight games each, but since I couldn't compare Furman, I left out Kent St and used the other 7 opponents to come up with opposition stats for both of us. If the averages were .5 or higher, I rounded up, .4 or lower, I rounded down.

CU Total Off. - 446 YPG (33rd) against Average Opponents Total D of 352 YPG (44th)
NCSt Total Off. - 442 YPG (40th) against Average Opponents Total D of 372 YPG (52nd)

CU slightly better (4 YPG) against better competition (20 YPG)

CU Rushing Off. - 220 YPG (25th) against Average Opponents Rushing D of 148 YPG (51st)
NCSt Rushing Off. - 162 YPG (68th) against Average Opponents Rushing D of 139 YPG (39th)

CU 58 YPG better against competition that is 9 YPG worse

CU Passing Off. - 227 YPG (66th) against Average Opponents Passing D of 205 YPG (46th)
NCSt Passing Off. - 280 YPG (26th) against Average Opponents Passing D of 233 YPG (76th)

NCSt 53 YPG better against competition that is 28 YPG worse

Side Note - NCSt has the 109th worst Passing D (264 YPG). This is worse than CU and every opponent that CU and NCSt has faced this year

CU Total Defense - 282 YPG (7th) against Average Opponents Total O of 447 YPG (41st)
NCSt Total Defense - 384 YPG (59th) against Average Opponents Total O of 415 YPG (65th)

CU significantly better (102 YPG) against better competition (32 YPG)

CU Rushing D - 119 YPG (18th) against Average Opponents Rushing O of 216 YPG (38th)
NCSt Rushing D - 120 YPG (19th) against Average Opponents Rushing O of 178 YPG (68th)

Almost identical rushing D stats but CU competition is 38 YPG better

CU Passing D - 163 YPG (7th) against Average Opponents Passing O of 231 YPG (60th)
NCSt Passing D - 264 YPG (109th) against Average Opponents Passing O of 237 YPG (62nd)

CU significantly better (99 YPG) against slightly worse competition (6 YPG)

A couple of other tidbits

CU Scoring O - 32.3 and Scoring D - 13.1 (19.2 Average Margin of Victory)
NCSt Scoring O - 33.8 and Scoring D - 24.3 (9.5 Average Margin of Victory)

CU Strength of Schedule - 4th
NCSt Strength of Schedule - 25th

CU Opponents Average Strength of Schedule - 24th
NCSt Opponents Average Strength of Schedule - 41st

CU 3rd Down O - .451% (23rd)
NCSt 3rd Down O - .396% 64th)
CU 3rd Down D - .290 (12th)
NCSt 3rd Down D - .430 (96th)

Sorry if too long, but we seem to be better in almost every meaningful category against equal or better competition.

Doesn't mean we'll win if we have turnovers or injuries, but I like our chances

Go Tigers!

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