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All-TigerNet [12246]
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COVID-19 mortality rate by the top 10 infected countries
Mar 16, 2020, 12:03 AM
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Got these numbers from the Johns Hopkins tracker - snapshot in time so these numbers will change:
China: 81,020 infections; 3217 deaths = 3.9% mortality rate
Italy: 24,747 infections; 1809 deaths = 7.3% mortality rate
Iran: 13,938 infections; 724 deaths = 5.1% mortality rate
South Korea: 8,236 infections; 75 deaths = 0.9% mortality rate
Spain: 7,845 infections; 292 deaths = 3.7% mortality rate
Germany: 5,813 infections; 13 deaths = 0.2% mortality rate
France: 5,437 infections; 127 deaths = 2.3% mortality rate
USA: 3,774 infections; 69 deaths = 1.8% mortality rate
Switzerland: 2,217 infections: 14 deaths = 0.6% mortality rate
Japan: 1,535 infections; 31 deaths = 2.0% mortality rate
The mortality rate of this thing seems to be all over the place ranging from just 0.2% in Germany to 7.3% in Italy. Scientists are going to be digging through this COVID-19 data for years trying to make sense of it all...
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Orange Blooded [2468]
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Re: COVID-19 mortality rate by the top 10 infected countries
Mar 16, 2020, 1:13 AM
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thanks for sharing.
It would be interesting to see breakouts of death by age ranges, as I imagine that could account for some of the variance in the death rate percentages. Italy's population is relatively older than some other countries, but I'm curious how South Korea has a 0.9% mortality rate (for example).
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Rock Defender [73]
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Re: COVID-19 mortality rate by the top 10 infected countries
Mar 16, 2020, 8:15 AM
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I am not a doctor or immunologist or involved in health care in any way, but I would imagine that Italy's mortality rate has a lot to do with the age of their population.
If you look at Italy's population demographics:
https://www.indexmundi.com/italy/age_structure.html Facts and statistics about the Age structure of Italy. Updated as of 2019. Facts and statistics about the Age structure of Italy. Updated as of 2019.
vs the US:
https://www.indexmundi.com/united_states/age_structure.html Facts and statistics about the Age structure of United States. Updated as of 2019. Facts and statistics about the Age structure of United States. Updated as of 2019.
A larger percentage of the population in the age danger zone is going to lead to a higher mortality rate.
Just my uneducated opinion.
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Hall of Famer [24965]
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i Read somewhere that the reason Germany’s is so low
Mar 16, 2020, 1:22 AM
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Is because they are only counting those who die strictly from the virus and not counting thus who die from it plus other diseases or complications.
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110%er [5082]
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Yeah but who have they played. Italy is in a crap conferenc
Mar 16, 2020, 1:31 AM
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e.
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All-In [36450]
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But Pauuuul, they ain’t played nobody***
Mar 16, 2020, 10:41 AM
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CU Medallion [57059]
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Re: COVID-19 mortality rate by the top 10 infected countries
Mar 16, 2020, 2:46 AM
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Look at the China numbers for all areas outside of Hubei.
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CU Guru [1126]
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Team Captain [453]
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I'm not sure we'll ever know the real denominator
Mar 16, 2020, 7:43 AM
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given that the symptoms can be almost negligible for children and the younger healthy population. And I'm pretty sure how aggressively testing is performed is going to have a lot to do with the mortality rate. Fewer documented cases will yield a higher mortality rate.
S. Korea where there has been aggressive testing and a lot of documented cases (higher sample size) is probably the closest to reality.
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110%er [7219]
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Re: I'm not sure we'll ever know the real denominator
Mar 16, 2020, 7:55 AM
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The South Korea mortality rate is 0.9%., or 9X as deadly as influenza. Yet it is MORE infectious than Influenza by that same data.
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All-TigerNet [11067]
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Re: COVID-19 mortality rate by the top 10 infected countries
Mar 16, 2020, 8:02 AM
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the countries with the lowest mortality rates are the countries who have tested the most people. Lower data populations always include those who dies 'with' the virus. This skews the numbers terribly. This is why you can't just listen tot he blabber and freak out!
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Orange Blooded [4365]
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Re: COVID-19 mortality rate by the top 10 infected countries
Mar 16, 2020, 9:24 AM
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I think as we get more data, the numbers will begin to converge somewhat.
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110%er [7555]
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Re: COVID-19 mortality rate by the top 10 infected countries
Mar 16, 2020, 10:26 AM
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God bless those people and families affected by this all over the world .....Hopefully we will get this virus under control soon so our lives can get back to normal.......Go Tigers!!!!
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Orange Blooded [2836]
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Re: COVID-19 mortality rate by the top 10 infected countries
Mar 16, 2020, 11:42 AM
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Not sure how accurate any of these are. I was listening to a Dr. that is working closely with the CDC state that 80% of all people that have the virus have no to very little symptoms. Thus most of those will not be going to the Dr.'s office to be tested. My Dr. stated that the requirements for someone being tested is so different that most that go to their Dr.'s are being treated for the Flu and sent home.
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