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All-TigerNet [12233]
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Useful website that shows the peak curves for the USA
Mar 29, 2020, 11:30 PM
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and each State.
https://covid19.healthdata.org/
IHME | COVID-19 Projections Explore hospital bed use, need for intensive care beds, and ventilator use due to COVID-19 based on projected deaths for all 50 US states and District of Columbia
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All-In [30776]
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To date there have been 33,000 deaths worldwide, yet that
Mar 30, 2020, 12:17 AM
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projects 80,000 deaths in the US. Seems a bit off, if you ask me.
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CU Medallion [56586]
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Re: To date there have been 33,000 deaths worldwide, yet that
Mar 30, 2020, 12:24 AM
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They can always hope.
Besides, it appears as if the CDC numbers show plummeting pneumonia and influenza deaths in the US all of a sudden. It’s almost as if they are counting as many deaths as they can as ‘rona victims. They’ll make the numbers work out.
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All-TigerNet [14751]
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Re: To date there have been 33,000 deaths worldwide, yet that
Mar 30, 2020, 11:37 AM
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This is a fascinating statistic. If those figures are indeed being drawn down they are doing exactly that.
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All-In [40864]
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that is not how that graph reads
Mar 30, 2020, 7:06 AM
[ in reply to To date there have been 33,000 deaths worldwide, yet that ] |
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the curves all look correct to me, better than a lot of miss information out there to fead the fear. We don't know right now what will happen. So predictions are made with maybe showing the 5% to 95% probability. (1% happens just ask the families of people that die from COVID-19 so it could still be outside the ranges shown)
The way that graph is interpreted is that they greatest chance of total number of deaths is 40,000 to 140,000. Yes the average, or most likely, is 80,000 but we still just don't know.
Think hurricane predictions. They are rarely spot on, but sometimes are pretty close.
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Heisman Winner [111186]
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All-TigerNet [13031]
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Letterman [288]
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Re: To date there have been 33,000 deaths worldwide, yet that
Mar 30, 2020, 4:28 PM
[ in reply to To date there have been 33,000 deaths worldwide, yet that ] |
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I think the world wide deaths is a questionable number. I don’t know that the numbers from the Chinese government are accurate. They have a lot of incentive to downplay the impact. Some thing happened that got Trumps attention and changed his views on Covid 19. Was it intelligence reports that said it was worse in China than the world was being told? I don’t have any idea but go back and read the official stats on Tiananmen Square and then read reports from alleged eyewitnesses that came out later. It’s just something to consider.
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Orange Blooded [2807]
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Re: Useful website that shows the peak curves for the USA
Mar 30, 2020, 6:37 AM
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Ohio projects a surplus of medical resources. I guess we should hop in our cars and hunker down in one of the cities.
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All-In [40864]
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that's because they all left and came to SC
Mar 30, 2020, 7:08 AM
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with the new yorkers and jerseyites
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All-TigerNet [12233]
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Not sure if this is one of the models the Coronavirus Task
Mar 30, 2020, 7:20 AM
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Force is looking at but it tracks with the dates coming out of yesterday's press conference. This model shows a US peak in mid-April and would explain why the nationwide mitigation procedures have been extended to 30 April.
If (and that is a big if) this model holds true, we will have made it through this first (and hopefully worst/last) wave of COVID-19 by the June-July time frame. If that's the case - I don't see a reason why we wouldn't start our summer football camp in late July or early August as scheduled.
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