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YOUR BALANCE
ETN Stats with others' carries (warning: math)
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ETN Stats with others' carries (warning: math)


Nov 27, 2019, 5:16 PM

I wondered how Travis Etienne's numbers would change if he had the same number of carries as Chuba Hubbard, Johnathan Taylor and JK Dobbins. I did some quick math and will show how ETN would have performed versus those other RBs if he were given the same number of carries. The key number is YPC and TDs per Touch (ETN scored a TD every 10.92 touches). They allow us to extrapolate the answers.

ETN's ACTUAL NUMBERS
Carries / Yards / TDs / YPC
153 / 1335 / 14 / 8.73


Comparison:

Hubbard: 285 / 1832 / 20 / 6.43
ETN: 285 / 2488 / 26 / 8.73

Taylor: 261 / 1685 / 18 / 6.46
ETN: 261 / 2279 / 24 / 8.73

Dobbins: 219 / 1446 / 15 / 6.60
ETN: 219 / 1912 / 20 / 8.73

In conclusion, Travis Etienne is BY FAR more efficient and productive than any of the other three RBs. He is being punished for being a key player on a dominant team. The other three RBs are very talented and deserving of praise. But, at best, they'd be 2nd string at Clemson.

Some might argue that ETN played against lesser competition. That may be fair... I really don't know. But, I would counter that ETN would have had a much higher YPC if he was allowed to play in the 4th quarter against tired defenses.

It's indefensible that no one on the Doak Walker committee did this simple comparison.

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I agree with your overall sentiment.


Nov 27, 2019, 6:14 PM

I think his YPC would have fluctuated with more carries, but it's hard to tell whether it would increase our decrease.

It's safe to say that he is being penalized for the amount of carries. While he may not have as many carries as the others, I think there is an ample sample size to justify his YPC. It's just a shame that most voters don't actually watch the nominees. I think they would immediately realize he is a top three RB if they did watch.

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Too bad journalists suck at math, logic, and science.


Nov 27, 2019, 6:50 PM

Also too bad they're the ones who vote.

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Re: ETN Stats with others' carries (warning: math)


Nov 27, 2019, 6:57 PM

Nice job.

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